AFRICA and IPv6 Uptake

By Adeola. A. P. AINA, 22/11/2023

On the note titled “Analysis of IPv4 soft landing in AFRINIC service region”, which I published on August 30, 2023, the analysis was focused on the following question: “With the exhaustion of IPv4, have we succeeded in guaranteeing IPv4 to those who need them to maintain IPv4 networks, while deploying IPv6 networks?” Read more

Now let’s see how AFRICA is doing with IPv6!

AFRINIC IPv6 pool

IANA IPv6 pool shows these two allocations to AFRINIC:

The IANA AFRINIC IPv6 page has a good analysis of AFRINIC’s IPv6 activities, including forecast on its IPv6 pool. Read more

AFRINIC fees schedule indicates that members with IPv4 do not pay extra fees for IPv6. For IPv6 Only members, 50% discount on the Allocation fee and 100% discount on the first year's membership fees will be applicable. For the three subsequent years, 75%, 50%, and 25% discount on the membership fee will apply respectively.Read more

The new fees schedule proposed in 2018 has not yet been finalized and implemented. It proposes some changes on the fees model and structure. Members shall pay according to these formulas:Read more

AFRINIC IPv6 statistics provide the distribution over the years and by country and show a total of 10,553 /32 issued since the beginning. The map below shows the number of IPv6 allocations by member country (regardless of size).

IPv6 Map

Source : https://stats.afrinic.net/ipv6/

These statistics indicate that in AFRINIC service region, only “Central African Republic”, “Eritrea” and “Mayotte” have no IPv6 issued.

Below is the percentage of members with IPv6 in each RIR. At AFRINIC, more than 50% of the members have both v4 and v6. Compared to LACNIC, with whom we share some similarities in terms of IP space usage and allocation, one can say, AFRINIC is not doing well.

IPv6 Map

Source : https://www.nro.net/wp-content/uploads/NRO-Number-Resource-Status-Report-2023-FINAL.pdf as at 30 June 2023

Access to IPv6 address space is guaranteed and almost every African’s country has IPv6 prefixes allocated or assigned, even though the end goal would have been to see every member with v4 to have v6.

What’s about the networks, infrastructures, services, and users?

To assess how IPv6-friendly are the services in AFRICA, we found interests in the following major initiatives which measure,quantify and qualify IPv6 adoption through many aspects:

Cisco 6lab with its data sources and methodology offers a good view to the IPv6 deployment we are trying to measure.

It presents data on:

We will use Cisco 6Lab as the main source of data for this analysis and corroborate data with other sources when needed.

IPv6 Overall Deployment

The picture below shows AFRICA at a global scale but unfortunately, it is lagging.

IPv6 Map

Source : https://6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=all

Only two countries pass 5 out 10 on the relative index. Gabon and Rwanda.

IPv6 Map

These countries are followed in the order by Reunion, Egypt, and Togo. Most countries have low IPv6 deployment

Let’s now look at the breakdown and see where things are more challenging.

1- IPv6 users.

The user side is shown here in terms of IPv6 preferred users per countries, by percentage of IPv6 preferred users on a map, but also by the estimated number of IPv6 preferred users on a table with color indication of the percentage. The distribution per region from APNIC labs is attached.

IPv6 Map

Source : https://6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=users

It seems that this is where the problem lies the most. Africa shows 1.86% of IPv6 capable compared to the world average of 36.13%

Reunion, Togo, Gabon, Congo, and Rwanda are leading in terms of percentage. Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya, and South Africa are leading in terms of IPv6 users.

To better understand the status of the leaders in percentage, one can look at the “Visible ASNs: Customer Populations (Est.)” from APNIC labs. Link where cctld is one of RE|TG|GA|CG|RW.

Except Reunion (which is a French department in the region), AS36924 seems to be the determining factor.

Canal-box has a good proportion of IPv6 users by default in countries where they operate and based on their market share, it impacts the level of IPv6 preferred users. Seen at Cloudflare radar, AS36924 has a traffic’s distribution of 63% of IPv6 and 37% of IPv4.

For the countries with big IPv6 preferred users, it is also notable that only one AS is being the determining factor. AS36992 in Egypt.

2- IPv6 Prefixes

The map below shows ratio of allocated v6 prefixes that are routable to all allocated v6 prefixes. Algeria and Niger are leading with 75% of allocated prefixes seen in the routing table. These countries have respectively six (06) and four (04) /32 allocated.

IPv6 Map

Source : https:// 6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=prefixes

When it comes to ratio of “allocated v6 prefixes to allocated v4 prefixes” and ratio of” allocated IPv6 prefixes from which traffic has been seen to all allocated v6 prefixes”, things are different. For example, Algeria and Niger show 37,5% and 0% for the latter.

IPv6 Map

South Africa which is first in terms of IPv6 allocation in the region shows the following:

IPv6 Map

3- Transit AS

From the IPv6 prefixes, the next metric to measure is the level of IPv6 readiness of the core of the internet. Cisco 6lab analyzes the BGP routing table and measure the IPv6 enablement of transit ASs.

The map below shows the representation of African countries in terms of “weighted ratio of AS that are transit V6 to AS that are transit V4 (IPv6 transit AS).

IPv6 Map

Source : https://6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=network

Sudan, Egypt, and Morocco are leaders here. The overall does not look good, and when it compares to the rest of the world, Africa’s position is not appealing.

IPv6 Map

Source : https://6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=network

When it comes to IPv6 enabled transit AS (AS that is transit on IPv4 network and has an IPv6 prefix but is not necessarily transit on IPv6 network), countries have a much better representation. This shows an existing potential for evolution or changes.

4- Content

The last metric is the content over IPv6 per country. IPv6 enabled website is used to measure this. The map below shows a weighted ratio of IPv6 enabled websites per country.

IPv6 Map

Source : https://6lab.cisco.com/stats/index.php?option=content

The overall looks good, even though, this metric does not check the hosting, as some sites may not be hosted in-countries. It does indicate that top websites visited by users from countries are reachable over IPv6.

In conclusion,

Africa is not leading in IPv6 deployment as predicted by the optimistic. The problem lies inside the network (core and edge). The edge may be more difficult, but the excuses will not hold forever. Other regions are moving, and the gap is already widening. Further work items could be to run surveys to assess the motives of those offering v6 access and the hesitance of others. African Internet users want access to the same, meaningful and resilient Internet.